VVOG vs HHC Hardenberg analysis


43	ELO	48
4.2%	Tilt	-0.7%
20906º	General ELO ranking	2936º
209º	Country ELO ranking	63º
ELO win probability

28.3%

VVOG

24%

Draw

47.7%

HHC Hardenberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

28.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%

24%

Draw

0-0

5.4%

1-1

11.2%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24%

47.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%