Winsum vs Balk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BQD
3 - 1
WIN
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BLA
2 - 1
WIN
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 0
VEV
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NOO
0 - 3
WIN
22%
20%
59%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 5
GOR
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 0
BLA
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 2
BUI
24%
24%
53%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
PKC
4 - 0
BAL
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 1
GRC
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ZMV
2 - 1
BAL
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |