Croatia Third Division Round 1

Vrapče vs Kurilovec analysis

Vrapče Kurilovec
51 ELO 37
-7.4% Tilt -22.6%
27763º General ELO ranking 8417º
159º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
66.1%
Vrapče
20.1%
Draw
13.9%
Kurilovec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
Vrapče
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.9%
Win probability
Kurilovec
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vrapče
-20%
+42%
Kurilovec

ELO progression

Vrapče
Kurilovec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vrapče
Vrapče
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2012
VRA
Vrapče
2 - 0
Krk
KRK
64%
21%
15%
51 40 11 0
18 May. 2012
JAP
Jadran
0 - 2
Vrapče
VRA
41%
28%
31%
51 46 5 0
12 May. 2012
VRA
Vrapče
1 - 0
NK Opatija
OPA
58%
23%
19%
50 45 5 +1
08 May. 2012
STU
Stupnik
1 - 2
Vrapče
VRA
43%
26%
31%
50 41 9 0
05 May. 2012
VRA
Vrapče
4 - 0
Vinodol
VNV
64%
21%
15%
49 37 12 +1