Vrapče vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
NKR
2 - 0
VRA
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VRA
3 - 0
LUK
27%
25%
49%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
VRA
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
VRA
1 - 0
NEH
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 0
VRA
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
JAP
2 - 0
LUK
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NEH
0 - 1
JAP
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
JAP
2 - 1
NKG
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
HAS
1 - 0
JAP
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
JAP
1 - 0
VRB
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |