Kolmonen Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 4-4
VPS II vs TP-47 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
64.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NYK
0 - 5
VPS
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
VPS
3 - 2
SPO
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
NFF
0 - 3
VPS
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
VPS
0 - 2
SIF
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
EIR
1 - 0
VPS
34%
22%
43%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
TP-47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TP4
2 - 2
PON
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ROI
0 - 1
TP4
12%
15%
74%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
TP4
4 - 0
TER
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KPS
1 - 2
TP4
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
TP4
5 - 0
ROP
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |