VPS Vaasa vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
3º
31
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 2
VAA
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 1
VAA
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
INT
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
VAA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 0
VAA
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
OUL
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 2
OUL
30%
23%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 0
HAK
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 4
OUL
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 0
VAA
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |