VPS Vaasa vs FC KTP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
3º
20
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
VAA
23%
24%
52%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 2
SEI
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 2
VAA
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
4 - 1
HAK
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
OUL
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC KTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 2
HAK
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SEI
2 - 3
KOO
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 4
INT
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KUO
2 - 0
KOO
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 1
KOO
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |