VPS Vaasa vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
6º
39
2º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EKE
1 - 2
VAA
18%
23%
60%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
VAA
3 - 1
INT
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 3
KUO
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 2
VAA
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KUO
2 - 1
VAA
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
ILV
1 - 2
KUO
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
ILV
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ILV
5 - 0
HAK
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EKE
0 - 2
ILV
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |