FNL Round 32

Volgar Astrakhan vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis

Volgar Astrakhan Chernomorets Novorossisk
56 ELO 57
-10.1% Tilt -8.5%
3556º General ELO ranking 2803º
35º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Volgar Astrakhan
27.3%
Draw
32.8%
Chernomorets Novorossisk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Volgar Astrakhan
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.8%
Win probability
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Volgar Astrakhan
+2%
+9%
Chernomorets Novorossisk

Points and table prediction

Volgar Astrakhan
Their league position
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
12º
18º
16º
35
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FK Khimki
66
66
100%
Dynamo Makhachkala
61
61
100%
Akron Tolyatti
59
59
100%
Rodina Moskva
55
55
0%
Arsenal Tula
55
55
0%
Yenisey
51
51
0%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
51
51
0%
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
49
49
100%
Tyumen
48
48
100%
Torpedo Moscow
10º
47
47
10º
100%
Neftekhimik
11º
42
42
11º
100%
SKA-Khabarovsk
13º
41
41
12º
0%
KamAZ
12º
41
41
13º
0%
Sokol Saratov
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Chernomorets Novorossisk
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Volgar Astrakhan
17º
34
34
16º
0%
Leningradets
16º
34
34
17º
0%
PFC Kuban Krasnodar
18º
23
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Volgar Astrakhan
Chernomorets Novorossisk
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Volgar Astrakhan
Chernomorets Novorossisk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Volgar Astrakhan
Volgar Astrakhan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2024
DMK
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 - 0
Volgar Astrakhan
VOL
54%
27%
19%
57 64 7 0
28 Apr. 2024
YEN
Yenisey
1 - 1
Volgar Astrakhan
VOL
64%
21%
15%
56 63 7 +1
24 Apr. 2024
VOL
Volgar Astrakhan
1 - 1
Torpedo Moscow
TOR
31%
28%
42%
56 62 6 0
20 Apr. 2024
ALA
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1 - 2
Volgar Astrakhan
VOL
69%
19%
12%
55 63 8 +1
13 Apr. 2024
VOL
Volgar Astrakhan
1 - 2
Tyumen
TYU
29%
27%
44%
56 61 5 -1

Matches

Chernomorets Novorossisk
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2024
SOK
Sokol Saratov
0 - 0
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CHE
25%
27%
47%
57 50 7 0
04 May. 2024
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1 - 2
Torpedo Moscow
TOR
37%
27%
36%
57 61 4 0
29 Apr. 2024
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
0 - 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
DMK
37%
30%
34%
57 64 7 0
24 Apr. 2024
TYU
Tyumen
1 - 1
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CHE
55%
24%
21%
57 60 3 0
20 Apr. 2024
KAM
KamAZ
1 - 0
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CHE
44%
27%
29%
58 58 0 -1