Copa São Paulo de Futebol Júnior 1ª Fase round 3

Vocem U20 vs Fortaleza U20 analysis

Vocem U20 Fortaleza U20
5 ELO 29
0% Tilt 0%
21423º General ELO ranking 6961º
659º Country ELO ranking 296º
ELO win probability
4.4%
Vocem U20
13.6%
Draw
82%
Fortaleza U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
Vocem U20
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.6%
82%
Win probability
Fortaleza U20
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
14.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Vocem U20
Fortaleza U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vocem U20
Vocem U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
VOC
Vocem U20
2 - 2
Castanhal U20
CAS
38%
22%
41%
6 6 0 0
03 Jan. 2024
VOC
Vocem U20
1 - 2
CRB U20
CRB
41%
22%
38%
7 7 0 -1

Matches

Fortaleza U20
Fortaleza U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
CRB
CRB U20
3 - 4
Fortaleza U20
FOR
12%
16%
73%
28 7 21 0
03 Jan. 2024
FOR
Fortaleza U20
2 - 0
Castanhal U20
CAS
73%
16%
11%
28 7 21 0
04 May. 2023
FOR
Fortaleza U20
0 - 1
Santos U20
SAN
20%
23%
57%
30 42 12 -2
26 Apr. 2023
CRU
Cruzeiro U20
3 - 0
Fortaleza U20
FOR
73%
15%
12%
30 41 11 0
13 Apr. 2023
SAO
São Paulo U20
0 - 1
Fortaleza U20
FOR
73%
15%
11%
29 41 12 +1