Tercera División RFEF I - Galicia Round 3

Viveiro vs UD Ourense analysis

Viveiro UD Ourense
26 ELO 30
-7.4% Tilt -8.1%
8039º General ELO ranking 5150º
399º Country ELO ranking 184º
ELO win probability
43.3%
Viveiro
24.9%
Draw
31.8%
UD Ourense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
Viveiro
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.8%
Win probability
UD Ourense
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Viveiro
+14%
+43%
UD Ourense

Points and table prediction

Viveiro
Their league position
UD Ourense
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
17º
11º
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bergantiños FC
73
73
100%
Gran Peña
61
61
100%
Arosa
58
58
100%
UD Ourense
55
55
100%
SD Sarriana
50
50
100%
At. Arteixo
47
47
100%
Somozas
45
45
0%
CD Estradense
45
45
0%
Alondras CF
11º
44
44
0%
Barbadás
44
44
10º
0%
Viveiro
10º
44
44
11º
0%
Betanzos CF
14º
43
43
12º
0%
Silva SD
12º
43
43
13º
0%
CD Lugo B
13º
43
43
14º
100%
Rápido de Bouzas
15º
42
42
15º
100%
UD Paiosaco
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Pontevedra B
17º
26
26
17º
100%
CSD Arzua
18º
18
18
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Viveiro
UD Ourense
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Viveiro
UD Ourense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viveiro
Viveiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
PON
Pontevedra B
0 - 1
Viveiro
VIV
29%
24%
47%
26 22 4 0
10 Sep. 2023
VIV
Viveiro
1 - 2
Bergantiños FC
BER
28%
24%
48%
27 35 8 -1
09 Aug. 2023
RCV
RC Villalbés
5 - 0
Viveiro
VIV
55%
23%
22%
28 36 8 -1
23 Apr. 2023
ART
At. Arteixo
3 - 1
Viveiro
VIV
45%
24%
31%
29 29 0 -1
16 Apr. 2023
VIV
Viveiro
1 - 2
Silva SD
SIL
58%
22%
20%
30 26 4 -1

Matches

UD Ourense
UD Ourense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2023
UDO
UD Ourense
2 - 1
At. Arteixo
ART
49%
23%
29%
29 29 0 0
10 Sep. 2023
SOM
Somozas
0 - 1
UD Ourense
UDO
47%
25%
29%
28 27 1 +1
19 Aug. 2023
GRA
Gran Peña
5 - 1
UD Ourense
UDO
59%
21%
20%
29 29 0 -1
12 Aug. 2023
UDO
UD Ourense
1 - 2
Ourense CF
OUR
22%
25%
54%
30 45 15 -1
07 May. 2023
ARO
Arosa
3 - 0
UD Ourense
UDO
55%
25%
21%
31 38 7 -1