Vittoriosa Stars vs Kercem Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vittoriosa Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FUN
0 - 4
VIT
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
VIT
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
HAM
48%
22%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ZEB
2 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 1
PIE
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kercem Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
KER
6 - 0
KAL
17%
21%
62%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
KER
3 - 0
ATT
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
KER
1 - 5
RAB
18%
22%
61%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
MDI
1 - 5
KER
49%
24%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
KER
1 - 2
LUQ
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |