Taça de Portugal . Semi-finals

Vitória Setúbal vs Vitória Guimarães analysis

Vitória Setúbal Vitória Guimarães
73 ELO 74
-3.5% Tilt -4.2%
4007º General ELO ranking 296º
59º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.2%
Vitória Setúbal
24.7%
Draw
21.1%
Vitória Guimarães

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
Vitória Setúbal
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.1%
Win probability
Vitória Guimarães
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória Setúbal
+10%
+6%
Vitória Guimarães

ELO progression

Vitória Setúbal
Vitória Guimarães
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória Setúbal
Vitória Setúbal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2006
EST
Estrela Amadora
1 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
32%
28%
40%
74 64 10 0
15 Mar. 2006
VST
Vitória Setúbal
2 - 1
Boavista
BOA
42%
27%
31%
73 79 6 +1
12 Mar. 2006
VST
Vitória Setúbal
0 - 2
Porto
FCP
22%
27%
52%
73 88 15 0
03 Mar. 2006
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
4 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
43%
27%
30%
74 72 2 -1
26 Feb. 2006
VST
Vitória Setúbal
2 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
67%
20%
13%
74 60 14 0

Matches

Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2006
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
1 - 1
Académica
ACA
55%
25%
20%
74 68 6 0
15 Mar. 2006
SLB
Benfica
0 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
70%
20%
10%
72 86 14 +2
12 Mar. 2006
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
1 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
44%
28%
28%
72 67 5 0
03 Mar. 2006
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
4 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
43%
27%
30%
72 74 2 0
25 Feb. 2006
NAC
Nacional
1 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
65%
21%
14%
72 76 4 0
X