Vitória Setúbal vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2005 |
VST
1 - 2
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
ACV
1 - 3
VST
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
VST
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
VST
1 - 1
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 0
VST
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
GFC
0 - 1
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
PEN
3 - 2
MAI
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 3
VIT
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |