Europa League . 1/16
Global 2-2
Vitória Setúbal vs RWD Molenbeek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
BMA
0 - 3
VST
23%
29%
48%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
FCB
0 - 0
VST
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
BEE
0 - 2
VST
38%
27%
36%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
VST
9 - 0
OLH
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
ACA
0 - 3
VST
29%
28%
44%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
RWD Molenbeek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
MOL
2 - 2
KSV
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
AND
2 - 2
MOL
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
MOL
1 - 2
ESP
51%
24%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
MOL
2 - 2
BEE
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BER
0 - 3
MOL
33%
31%
36%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |