Vitória Setúbal vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
2º
2º
13
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 3 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
VST
20%
24%
57%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VST
2 - 1
USA
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OEL
2 - 1
VST
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VST
1 - 1
FAB
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
3 - 3
VST
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
USA
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
MON
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
LUS
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 3
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
LUS
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |