Vitoria de Sernache vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
5 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAV
27%
25%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
ALC
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SER
5 - 2
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
UDL
12%
21%
68%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEN
70%
20%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |