Vitória Guimarães vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2002 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
VIT
5 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2002 |
ACA
2 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2002 |
VIT
0 - 2
FCP
23%
25%
53%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2002 |
VST
1 - 2
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
VAR
3 - 0
GFC
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
BOA
2 - 1
VAR
75%
18%
8%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
VAR
0 - 2
BEL
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2002 |
SCP
0 - 0
VAR
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |