Vitória Guimarães vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
VIT
0 - 0
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
BOA
2 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 2
VST
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
ACA
2 - 1
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 4
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
SLB
2 - 0
VAR
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
VAR
2 - 1
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 0
VAR
69%
19%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |