Baiano 1 Normal Season Round 2

Vitória da Conquista vs Bahia de Feira analysis

Vitória da Conquista Bahia de Feira
42 ELO 48
2.5% Tilt -9.2%
5347º General ELO ranking 3488º
219º Country ELO ranking 101º
ELO win probability
42.7%
Vitória da Conquista
24.5%
Draw
32.8%
Bahia de Feira

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
Vitória da Conquista
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.8%
Win probability
Bahia de Feira
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória da Conquista
-9%
+20%
Bahia de Feira

ELO progression

Vitória da Conquista
Bahia de Feira
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória da Conquista
Vitória da Conquista
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2022
ALA
Atlético Alagoinhas
4 - 1
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
47%
25%
28%
45 47 2 0
06 May. 2021
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
3 - 0
Atlético Alagoinhas
ALA
32%
24%
44%
43 49 6 +2
29 Apr. 2021
VIT
Vitória
2 - 0
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
84%
12%
4%
43 66 23 0
17 Apr. 2021
UNI
UNIRB
3 - 2
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
26%
22%
52%
45 32 13 -2
07 Apr. 2021
BAH
Bahia de Feira
1 - 0
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
54%
23%
23%
45 48 3 0

Matches

Bahia de Feira
Bahia de Feira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2022
BAH
Bahia de Feira
2 - 2
Bahía
BAH
9%
21%
70%
46 81 35 0
12 Oct. 2021
ITA
Itabaiana
1 - 1
Bahia de Feira
BAH
42%
25%
32%
46 46 0 0
05 Sep. 2021
SER
Sergipe
4 - 0
Bahia de Feira
BAH
43%
27%
31%
48 48 0 -2
29 Aug. 2021
BAH
Bahia de Feira
6 - 1
Murici
MUR
69%
19%
12%
47 37 10 +1
21 Aug. 2021
SDJ
SD Juazeirense
2 - 1
Bahia de Feira
BAH
58%
25%
17%
47 56 9 0