AC Virtus vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PEN
3 - 3
VIR
9%
19%
72%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 1
TFI
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FAE
0 - 2
VIR
14%
22%
65%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 0
TPE
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 0
FIO
43%
24%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FIO
1 - 0
TFI
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
TFI
1 - 1
SGI
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SGI
1 - 2
TFI
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 2
TFI
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TFI
3 - 1
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |