San Marino Cup Group B Round 3

AC Virtus vs Pennarossa analysis

AC Virtus Pennarossa
51 ELO 60
1.1% Tilt 2.3%
1810º General ELO ranking 7154º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
33%
AC Virtus
26.5%
Draw
40.6%
Pennarossa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
AC Virtus
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.6%
Win probability
Pennarossa
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AC Virtus
+29%
-13%
Pennarossa

ELO progression

AC Virtus
Pennarossa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AC Virtus
AC Virtus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2015
VIR
AC Virtus
3 - 2
Fiorentino
FIO
37%
27%
36%
52 56 4 0
30 Sep. 2015
VIR
AC Virtus
2 - 1
Cosmos
COS
44%
25%
32%
50 50 0 +2
27 Sep. 2015
TPE
Tre Penne
3 - 1
AC Virtus
VIR
62%
21%
17%
51 57 6 -1
20 Sep. 2015
VIR
AC Virtus
1 - 1
Folgore
FOL
19%
25%
56%
50 66 16 +1
16 Sep. 2015
LIB
Libertas
1 - 0
AC Virtus
VIR
57%
24%
19%
50 62 12 0

Matches

Pennarossa
Pennarossa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2015
COS
Cosmos
1 - 1
Pennarossa
PEN
27%
27%
46%
59 50 9 0
03 Oct. 2015
SGI
San Giovanni
1 - 4
Pennarossa
PEN
31%
26%
43%
60 47 13 -1
30 Sep. 2015
PEN
Pennarossa
1 - 2
Libertas
LIB
40%
26%
34%
59 63 4 +1
26 Sep. 2015
PEN
Pennarossa
0 - 1
Juvenes / Dogana
JUV
49%
25%
27%
59 57 2 0
19 Sep. 2015
FIO
La Fiorita
1 - 0
Pennarossa
PEN
51%
25%
24%
60 59 1 -1