Virtus vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SGI
0 - 2
VIR
35%
24%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 0
FOL
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
VIR
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
11%
20%
70%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 2
DOM
25%
24%
52%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LIB
6 - 0
COS
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 5
FOL
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 3
TPE
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
SGI
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |