AC Virtus vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 1
VIR
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 0
SGI
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TPE
5 - 1
VIR
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 2
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 2
COS
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 2
DOM
82%
14%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
FOL
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |