AC Virtus vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
TPE
34%
24%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 4
JUV
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 5
FIO
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
2 - 1
VIR
18%
24%
59%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 3
FIO
21%
21%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
LIE
4 - 0
FIO
61%
21%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIE
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
FIO
24%
22%
54%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |