Virtus vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 2
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
COS
2 - 3
VIR
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
FAE
0 - 1
VIR
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
VIR
3 - 3
FAE
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DOM
0 - 0
VIR
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 0
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 1
FIO
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 2
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 2
TPE
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |