AC Virtus vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COS
3 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 2
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
FAE
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 0
FAE
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 4
FOL
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 2
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 2
FIO
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |