AC Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIR
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 1
TFI
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 3
VIR
10%
21%
69%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
DOM
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
COS
6 - 2
PEN
86%
11%
4%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 5
COS
15%
24%
62%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
JUV
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TPE
1 - 0
COS
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |