Virtus Verona vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 2
VIR
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIR
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
OLG
1 - 2
VIR
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
REA
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ACS
1 - 2
VIR
38%
26%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 4
REA
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
REN
4 - 2
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 2
CAS
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
FCC
47%
26%
28%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 0
RIM
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |