Virtus Francavilla vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
61.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
FRA
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 2
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 0
FRA
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 1
TER
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
USF
0 - 2
TER
39%
26%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
TER
5 - 1
CAT
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
TER
5 - 1
CAS
72%
18%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
TER
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |