Virtus Francavilla vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
61.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
FRA
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 2
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 0
FRA
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 1
TER
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
USF
0 - 2
TER
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
TER
5 - 1
CAT
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
TER
5 - 1
CAS
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |