Casarano vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 0
GAL
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
VIR
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
USB
2 - 2
VIR
27%
27%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 0
FCF
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GLA
0 - 0
VIR
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 2
NAR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NAR
2 - 0
SSB
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAR
5 - 2
ASD
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SSB
3 - 2
NAR
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 2
BRI
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |