Casarano vs Grottaglie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
OSP
0 - 1
VIR
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VER
2 - 0
VIR
71%
18%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ASF
2 - 5
VIR
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 2
VIR
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Grottaglie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
GRO
3 - 1
CPT
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
USB
1 - 1
GRO
41%
25%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GRO
3 - 2
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ASP
3 - 2
GRO
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 3
BAC
56%
24%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |