Casarano vs Rotonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 2
NAR
61%
20%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SOR
3 - 0
VIR
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
FCF
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
VIR
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 4
ASD
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 0
BIS
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
ROT
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 0
ASF
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 1
LAV
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |