Vimy vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
12º
8º
34
4º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 36 |
5º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OCP
3 - 3
VIM
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIM
0 - 0
DIE
39%
24%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RCC
1 - 1
VIM
13%
18%
70%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 4
PDC
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PDC
3 - 0
VIM
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LEN
5 - 2
REI
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IRI
2 - 1
LEN
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 2
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
LEN
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
4 - 0
FEI
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |