Vimy vs Longueau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
6º
12
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VIM
2 - 1
MAR
32%
24%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
VIM
35%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VIM
0 - 1
ESW
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VIM
2 - 0
AMI
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VIM
2 - 0
TOU
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LON
1 - 3
ASB
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LON
0 - 0
VIT
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LON
2 - 1
LAN
56%
20%
25%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LON
2 - 1
BLO
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LON
0 - 7
IRI
13%
19%
68%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -2 |