Vimy vs Ailly Sur Somme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
IVR
3 - 3
AIL
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AUL
2 - 2
AIL
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
AIL
0 - 3
NOI
42%
25%
32%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
AIL
60%
20%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AIL
2 - 0
BOU
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |