Esiliiga Round 4

Viimsi JK vs Nõmme Kalju II analysis

Viimsi JK Nõmme Kalju II
71 ELO 56
5.2% Tilt -5.8%
1163º General ELO ranking 3638º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Viimsi JK
20.3%
Draw
15.6%
Nõmme Kalju II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
Viimsi JK
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.6%
Win probability
Nõmme Kalju II
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Viimsi JK
+18%
-1%
Nõmme Kalju II

Points and table prediction

Viimsi JK
Their league position
Nõmme Kalju II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
29
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nõmme United
55
82
82%
Viimsi JK
49
74
60.5%
Tartu Welco
46
69
63%
FC Elva
41
59
65%
FC Flora Tallin II
28
52
41.5%
FC Tallinn
31
49
41%
Nõmme Kalju II
29
44
44%
Levadia Tallinn II
23
38
58%
Tallinna Kalev II
14
28
88%
Tammeka II
10º
6
12
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Viimsi JK
Nõmme Kalju II
Promotion
15% 0%
Promotion play-offs
60.5% 0%
Mid-table
24.5% 68%
Relegation play-offs
0% 26%
Relegation
0% 6%

ELO progression

Viimsi JK
Nõmme Kalju II
Tallinna Kalev II
Nõmme United
Tartu Welco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2025
NOM
Nõmme United
2 - 0
Viimsi JK
VJK
33%
26%
41%
71 61 10 0
09 Mar. 2025
TAM
Tammeka II
0 - 1
Viimsi JK
VJK
28%
26%
46%
71 59 12 0
01 Mar. 2025
VJK
Viimsi JK
3 - 3
FC Elva
FCE
66%
21%
14%
71 58 13 0
16 Feb. 2025
VJK
Viimsi JK
0 - 1
Kuressaare
KUR
53%
23%
24%
70 66 4 +1
09 Feb. 2025
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
5 - 1
Viimsi JK
VJK
38%
24%
38%
71 64 7 -1

Matches

Nõmme Kalju II
Nõmme Kalju II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2025
TAM
Tammeka II
0 - 2
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
49%
23%
28%
56 59 3 0
08 Mar. 2025
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
0 - 2
FC Elva
FCE
45%
24%
32%
56 59 3 0
03 Mar. 2025
TKA
Tallinna Kalev II
1 - 2
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
64%
19%
18%
55 61 6 +1
16 Feb. 2025
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
0 - 4
Maardu FC
MAA
11%
14%
75%
55 74 19 0
09 Feb. 2025
TAB
Tabasalu Charma
1 - 2
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
22%
19%
59%
55 46 9 0