Villena vs La Nucia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 2
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
IND
59%
20%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
VIL
22%
22%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
ALM
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
ODI
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Nucia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IND
2 - 3
NUC
42%
25%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NUC
4 - 0
ALM
76%
16%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
NUC
53%
23%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NUC
4 - 0
VIJ
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SFF
1 - 2
NUC
13%
21%
66%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |