Villena B vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-94%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 4
VIL
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
VIL
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ONI
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RAY
4 - 2
VIL
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
UDF
44%
22%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
RAY
5 - 4
UDF
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UDF
0 - 0
ONI
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UDF
3 - 1
BEN
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ESI
3 - 3
UDF
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |