Villegas vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 1
HAR
11%
19%
70%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 0
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
TED
67%
18%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARN
30%
26%
44%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BER
0 - 2
VIL
59%
23%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NAX
7 - 0
ADF
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 1
NAX
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NAX
2 - 1
RIV
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 2
NAX
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NAX
2 - 0
CLH
37%
27%
37%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |