Villegas vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VAR
8 - 0
VIL
92%
6%
2%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALF
7%
15%
79%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ANG
2 - 0
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VIA
0 - 0
VIL
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
COM
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CDF
0 - 2
VAR
10%
17%
74%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
AGO
2 - 0
CDF
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ALF
2 - 3
CDF
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CDF
3 - 1
VIA
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
CDF
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |