Villegas vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
VAR
6%
13%
82%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AGO
2 - 2
VIL
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
VIA
34%
25%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
CAS
15%
20%
66%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CDF
0 - 1
SDL
5%
12%
83%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
4 - 1
CDF
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CDF
2 - 0
SMC
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AGO
3 - 2
CDF
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 1
RAP
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |