Villegas vs Autol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NAX
1 - 3
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
YAG
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
OYO
1 - 0
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 0
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 4
VIL
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 1
HAR
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 6
AUT
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
AUT
2 - 0
CAS
29%
25%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 3
AUT
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 0
CEN
33%
26%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |