Villefranche vs Orly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MON
1 - 2
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 2
CAB
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 0
GAZ
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
AND
2 - 0
VIL
41%
27%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Orly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ORL
5 - 6
FCL
20%
24%
56%
|
9 | 67 | 58 | 0 |