Villaseco vs Benavente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
80.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villaseco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 5
TOR
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIL
89%
8%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
MOR
57%
21%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SZA
3 - 2
VIL
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 5
MOR
15%
18%
67%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benavente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
BEN
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
VIL
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
BEN
7%
13%
80%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 0
SZA
86%
10%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 4
BEN
38%
22%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |