Villarreal vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
UEP
2 - 1
VIL
50%
28%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
VIL
4 - 1
CRE
53%
28%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
JOV
0 - 0
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
VIL
1 - 2
ACE
58%
25%
17%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
GAN
2 - 1
VIL
61%
24%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
POR
0 - 0
PBL
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
PBL
1 - 0
UEP
63%
25%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
CRE
1 - 1
PBL
64%
23%
13%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
PBL
2 - 2
JOV
58%
26%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ACE
0 - 0
PBL
50%
29%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |