UEFA Intertoto Cup . Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Villarreal vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 2
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 0
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 0
OBK
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
OBK
0 - 3
VIL
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
VAD
3 - 0
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
HSV
3 - 1
THU
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
THU
2 - 2
HSV
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
HSV
2 - 1
EIN
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SCF
0 - 0
HSV
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
HSV
2 - 1
STU
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |