Villarreal C vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ALZ
1 - 1
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
ORI
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NUC
4 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
REC
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 2
VIL
17%
22%
62%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ELC
1 - 0
CRE
44%
26%
31%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
ELC
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ELC
1 - 1
PAT
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
BUÑ
0 - 0
ELC
30%
26%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
ELC
2 - 1
ALZ
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |