Villarcayo Nela vs Promesas 2000 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 0
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAP
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ONA
2 - 2
VIL
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALC
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIL
58%
21%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Promesas 2000 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
9 - 1
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 6
BUR
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
4 - 2
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BUR
6 - 1
ALF
66%
18%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 0
BUR
43%
23%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |