Villarcayo Nela vs Deportivo Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
CEB
1 - 2
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
PAL
10%
18%
72%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 3
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
COL
6 - 0
VIL
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
SJO
17%
21%
63%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
ARE
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ARE
4 - 0
CDS
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BOS
2 - 2
ARE
17%
19%
65%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ARE
2 - 1
HOY
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 2
PRA
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |